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Pastimes : Clown-Free Zone... sorry, no clowns allowed
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To: Les H who wrote (95214)4/17/2001 2:08:45 PM
From: Les H  Read Replies (1) of 436258
 
10:33 AM FED TALK: The Fed is conducting yet another coupon pass wherein they will purchase U.S. Treasuries in the open market for their own account. The Fed last bought Treasuries yesterday when they bought $702mm of long maturities (2004-2005). The Fed conducts these passes because the need for money in the banking system is too large to be addressed with the Fed's daily open market operations (temporary injections of money) alone. The Fed has chosen the 10/31/02 to 3/31/03 sector for today's pass. The shortness of the maturities will likely limit the overall market impact. The Fed has significantly increased its open market purchases in recent months due to changes in the Fed's procedures. As Dana Saporta of Stone & McCarthy Research Associates has recently pointed out, the Fed recently announced changes to its open market operations that affects they way the Fed manages its portfolio of Treasury securities. For starters, the Fed announces that they want to avoid any further lengthening of their System Open Market Account (SOMA) which has lengthened from 2.6 years in 1992 to 4.2 years as of July 5th, 2000. Therefore, the Fed is expected to purchase more short-term debt than they have in recent years. Importantly, until July, the Fed routinely rolled over its SOMA holdings into new Treasuries. But since July, the Fed altered that procedure so that less than the full amount of the Fed's SOMA holdings will be henceforth rolled over. This means that the Fed must buy more Treasuries in the open market than in the past. Hence, the increase in coupon passes. Although today's operation is technical, it is notable the money has been growing quite sharply in recent since the end of November. Indeed, M3 has grown at a roughly 13% rate since then.

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