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Gold/Mining/Energy : Strictly: Drilling and oil-field services

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To: Roebear who wrote (90204)4/18/2001 4:45:35 PM
From: SliderOnTheBlack  Read Replies (1) of 95453
 
more 1997-98 OSX Cycle - Deja Vu all over again...

Anyone else notice some very errie negative similarities here ?

1. The API storage numbers are just about right where - they triggered the collapse of the 1997-98 cycle ?

2. That we are at OSX 120ish "again" - right where we were in 1998 when those API's reversed into the build mode/negative trend and the cycle collapsed ?

3. That is was a slowing of demand & not over-production that reversed the supply/demand balance & that once again - Asia; but this time not just Asia; as the USA as well is in this "contagian"...

4. That the Bulls are in complete denial & are mesmerized on the present fundamentals of eps & cfps & not the early indicators appearing on the horizon - like these API levels and the still slowing economic conditions ?

... food for thought peeps... food for thought ~

How's the ole saying go ?

History.... learn from it; or be destined to repeat it.

PS S:

I've got a little prediction here:

1. that someday it will be discovered that JL Holloway had prudently hedged his insider holdings in FGI/FGH - long, long ago.

2. that he'll be part of a group buying "choice" assets out of bankruptcy.

... just a prediction as the Fox was strangely absent from minding the hen house of late...and I don't think the FOX is going to miss "buying em back cheaper"... just a prediction...
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