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AMZN 220.66+1.6%Nov 21 9:30 AM EST
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To: schrodingers_cat who wrote (123831)4/19/2001 6:35:46 PM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Read Replies (1) of 164684
 
I think $50/month is quite expensive for the average family. Some things people use the internet for, like e-mail and instant messaging, work quite well on ordinary dial-up service. I don't think voice over IP will matter because long distance voice is already quite cheap. I don't think voice over IP would save enough to justify the cost of the connection



You do not believe the average family has a phone dedicated for internet access? I really do not know.

I think multimedia will eventually be the killer app for broadband. Napster has shown the way. People like on demand access to audio and video entertainment, if the price is right. The trouble is, the right price may be quite low.

There is a lot of multimedia on the net now but most people are unable to access it:-(

Bottom line: I don't see anything which will drive roll out of broadband over the next year or so. I think it will be several years and some price reductions before it becomes widespread. Which brings me to Moore's law. If broadband costs fall along with Moore's law (I'm not sure if this is true) then in two years time broadband may be available for about the same cost as dial-up. I guess that installation would still be costly but the price of the equipment should drop.


You are likely correct.
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