Booms, Busts, and Recoveries Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: westpacific who wrote (3458)	5/5/2001 12:22:28 PM
From: Tommaso	Read Replies (3) of 74559

I can't remember if you follow these graphs and charts. The tables at the bottom are even more alarming than the graphs. Even if the Fed is able to pull back on the money growth, what we see here is likely to result in inflation rates over 10% by the end of next year. I think that as soon as the annual rate of CPI passes 6 percent the Fed may raise rates. Maybe what we are in for is a dollar crisis as much as a stock market fiasco. What we see going on in those charts is not Weimar Republic monetary policy, but it certainly is close to what South American countries have done in the past. Already expectations of being saved by the Fed are so strong in the stock markets that if they don't cut another half percent next time they meet, it will seem like tightening. stls.frb.org stls.frb.org

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