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Politics : High Tolerance Plasticity

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To: Gottfried who wrote (4184)5/6/2001 10:21:36 AM
From: jim_p  Read Replies (2) of 23153
 
Gottfried,

I share the same concerns you have, which is why the Raymond and Dain reports on the sector are both so important and also so puzzling to me.

It's very rare for an investment banking analyst to recommend a sell in a hot sector near the top. Dain and Raymond make their money from the client, not you and I Joe investor.

I suspect there have been lots of phone calls from various CEO' over the issuance of those two reports in the last week.

As you know, in their business, a Strong Buy is a really a Buy, a Buy is really a Hold and a Hold is really a Sell. I clearly interpret both articles as a Sell on both the exploration and oil service sector at least for now until the dust settles.

I suspect one reason might be that they intend to focus solely on the power generation sub-sector for now, and exclude oil and gas and oil service in up coming IPO's and secondaries? If not, I don't think you will see Dain's or Raucher's name on the cover of a prospectus any time soon.

The Business Week article seems to focus mostly on power generation where there is a true shortage today.

What's your take?

Jim
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