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Pastimes : Clown-Free Zone... sorry, no clowns allowed
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To: UnBelievable who wrote (100462)5/8/2001 12:34:41 PM
From: pater tenebrarum  Read Replies (4) of 436258
 
what's most astounding is the conclusion drawn in this article, namely that this heightens the chances for more interest rate cuts. mind you, i'm not saying the conclusion is wrong, only that the fact that this is so is rather strange. there's a clear warning here: nobody is worried about inflation...not one economist, mainstream or otherwise, expects it. the Fed has been seduced by this consensus (as it always is) to pursue an absolutely reckless monetary expansion...all of which leads me to believe that perhaps the 'false spring' inflation episode will become more pronounced than i originally thought it would.
and then, when finally everyone is worrying about inflation once more, comes the final policy blunder that leads to the deflationary K winter contraction. it would be a case of 'everything that can go wrong, will go wrong'.
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