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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 659.00+1.0%Nov 21 4:00 PM EST

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To: t2 who wrote (76800)5/10/2001 7:33:12 PM
From: The Freep  Read Replies (1) of 99985
 
<<There is no other way to explain the selloff today.>>

There's always explanations galore. And your scenario implies that only the Naz traders have figured this out, but not those who deal with the Dow or even the S+P 500, as those both were green. Actually, the Wilshire total market index didn't show your explanation, either.

Don't get me wrong. . . you might be onto something. But trying to explain every single move, up or down, with a neat synopsis doesn't make sense to me. The selloff could be because tech earnings, while seeming to stabilize, are stabilizing in such a way that PEs are still much higher than growth rates. . . and suddenly people realized this. Or it could be profit taking, remembering that we're still up 33% in a little more than a month. Or. . . or. . . .

<<Mutual funds are obviously buying tech lately and fund flows have been good into US equity funds and we have seen bonds weak today as well.>>

Oddly, TrimTabs, who tracks inflows, turned "cautiously bearish" the other day after being "cautiously bullish." What does that mean? Why'd they say that? I dunno. . . do you?

respectfully,

the freep
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