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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED

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To: stockman_scott who wrote (36783)5/10/2001 8:14:31 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (1) of 65232
 
with Europeans cutting rates, pressure and burden is off our Fed
the tax cut bill is proceeding at a galacial pace
I see even odds of only a 25 bpt cut next week
also, if yet another 50 bpt cut is granted, what future ammo remains in store?
we have had 200 bpt easing in four months
historically rapid rate of cutting by our myopic geriatric hidebound grayhairs running monetary policy
and the most recent jobs report was much better than expected
and the most recent inventory report showed widely depleted warehouses

we are fast approaching the major league curve ball (nay, slider)
a healthy blip up this late spring, preceding a summer swoon of serious proportions

consumer demand is about to demonstrate a last gasp
it might center of automobiles and housing
soon after, an eerie consumer silence amidst mounting summer layoffs
just an opinion expressed by someone who has been wrong often

I think we might be disappointed with a 25 bpt cut next week
they must keep something back
just like a woman after consecutive romantic interludes
/ jw
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