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Technology Stocks : John, Mike & Tom's Wild World of Stocks

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To: Logain Ablar who wrote (2308)5/12/2001 2:41:17 PM
From: John Pitera  Read Replies (1) of 2850
 
Tim, the third response to this post

Message 15790631

asks are you short the homebuilders yet?

BZH, PHM, HOV

that may make some sense soon, both the 10 and 30 year bond
yields are over there 200 dma's now and rising and it's
very possible we have seen a large H&S top in bonds and
inverse H&S in Yield.

we may see the steam come out of the housing market with
higher rates and the second phase of the downturn, if it
develops.. higher rates certainly affect housing starts and
sales, and it's very possible that these homebuilders have
been building up excesses, inventories, higher expenses
with the boom of the past several years. Ca. money woes
could contribute to this overall theme.

I'm going to start paying more attention to the group.
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