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Biotech / Medical : Biotech Valuation
CRSP 54.600.0%1:05 PM EST

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To: Michael Young who wrote (3799)5/15/2001 8:46:20 PM
From: Biomaven  Read Replies (1) of 52153
 
rate cuts mean that institutional money will be attracted to more cyclical market sectors

I'm familiar with that reasoning, however I've normally seen it applied to the drug stocks not the biotechs. Not many people consider biotechs "defensive" although of course they perhaps have the lowest fundamental cyclicality of any sector. My view is that biotechs are primarily liquidity-driven. Certainly their price moves are more closely tied to NASD rather than to the more closely related (on fundamentals) DRG index.

This is a view of what sectors are claimed to perform best at different stages of the economic cycle:

stockcharts.com

This is the current relative performance (unfortunately drugs and biotechs are not included):

stockcharts.com

Peter
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