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Technology Stocks : Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO)

CSCO 77.80

-0.3%

Nov 17 3:59 PM EST

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To: RetiredNow who wrote (53308)	5/22/2001 5:46:37 PM
From: Stock Farmer	Read Replies (2) of 77400

mindmeld: "we will see $82 within the next 10 years. You can count on that." Hmmm... taking a PE of 30 and net margin of 15% and shares of 10B you are saying we can count on 82 / 30 / .15 * 10B = 182 B$ revenue for Cisco. Or maybe it's because we get a PE of 100 when the revenue hits 60 B$. Maybe you are using it in the statistical sense. Like 2000 trading days until 2010, so a 0.05% chance of something happening you can "count on" happening once. If you were to say "The odds of hitting $82 by 2010 are 99.95% against", then I'd agree with you. John.

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