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Technology Stocks : Ciena (CIEN)
CIEN 201.46+2.9%Nov 6 4:00 PM EST

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To: jhg_in_kc who wrote (11061)5/23/2001 12:07:55 PM
From: Rustam Tahir  Read Replies (2) of 12623
 
Here's MSDW's note on CIEN:

We downgrade CIEN from an Outperform-V to a Neutral-V rating. We recognize that CIEN remains
the best-positioned company in the optical sector. However, our valuation work suggests the stock
has limited upside from current levels.
• We believe Sprint’s spending is at risk. Our industry checks indicate that Sprint could delay network
upgrades. We estimate that Sprint accounted for 20-30% of CIEN’s C1Q01 rev.
• We believe the AT&T metro DWDM contract is worth roughly $40-50MM. We believe the contract
was baked into mgmt’s C2001 guidance. We expect AT&T to announce in the next few months an
optical switch contract with CIEN.
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