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Strategies & Market Trends : TATRADER GIZZARD STUDY--Stocks 12.00 or Less.....

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To: TATRADER who wrote (22925)5/25/2001 6:25:13 PM
From: NW_Trader  Read Replies (2) of 59879
 
Hi Mark,

if you have any ideas on what went bad on HYGS, please share

Will have to save analysis for weekend as didn't get QP data until well after midnight and didn't even get to do proper scans and prep for today's trading. Seems they had a virus and/or server crash; first time for everything.

The upon reflection of what I did yesterday with HYGS, I bailed on the day's position for scratch when the gap open looked like it would fail (second test), the stock couldn't hold it's intraday gains (unlike many other alternate fuel stocks), and {most importantly} the price-volume divergence - i.e., daily volume was increasing as the price was dropping. Based on price-volume analysis, I kept COSN and EFCX and 1/2 of today's ASTM. Also sold CAPA for a dime, again volume isn't supportive.

Price-volume agreement/disagreement is a great signal - and lately volume kept a number of trades from being bad memories or confirmed a good trade for me. When I've ignored price-volume relations, I have often fared poorly or just been lucky. Two days ago I didn't consider that CMTN was trading higher on higher volume, and altho it had pulled back from its intra day high, it held above both intra day support and retraced less than 50% of its push. But I nervously sold at 4.8 thinking it was weakening. In reviewing the tape, the volume was not increasing as the stock trended down - I just convinced myself to get out with $$ in my pocket. Had to scramble to catch it the next day and while I did so at a discount of .2, that was more luck.

I don't know if these links will work for non TASC subscribers, but here is an article in 4 parts on volume analysis that while simple, contains some good points.

technical.traders.com
technical.traders.com
technical.traders.com
technical.traders.com

Hope the party went well and the clean up isn't too bad.

Peace and Justice --- Patrick
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