BEAS DISH news : biz.yahoo.com
Even as evolution continues to weed out the weakest dot-coms, the overall Internet is enjoying strong growth fueled by software vendors instituting web functionality into their products and the aggressive entry of traditional companies into e-commerce. Longer-term, the big winners in this trend are companies whose products make up the infrastructure of the Internet. One of the infrastructure firms pulling away from the pack is BEA Systems. BEA Tuxedo has become the platform of choice for the big boys with sites processing millions of transactions daily. Customers include Amazon.com, United Airlines and FedEx. Their WebLogic application server software enables web applications to work with legacy systems and older networks. A recent agreement with Dell will have the PC giant pre-installing WebLogic on their servers. With BEA products becoming standards in their respective arena, the company becomes a solid choice for long-term investors. In addition, an attractive technical picture for the shares makes it worthy of consideration for a short-term play.
On a fundamental basis, the company stock is expensive. It has a current P/E of 160 and a forward P/E of 95 for 2001. However, this is the price you pay for companies with dominate positions in high growth markets. Last year, the company earned 25-cents per share on sales of $820 million. Despite the weak economy, this year, analysts forecast a 68-percent increase in earnings to 42-cents per share on a 46-percent pop in sales to $1.2 billion. Next year, analysts project the growth will continue unabated with an additional 48-percent rise in profits to 62-cents per share and a 33-percent in sales to $1.6 billion. The company has a strong balance sheet with $907 million in cash and $563 million in long-term debt.
Since the early April low of $20.19, a chart of BEAS share has formed a bullish ascending triangle pattern. This is characterized by a series of higher lows, while a horizontal line can be drawn across minor highs at about $42.50. Typically, this pattern resolves itself within 3 months with an upside break. In the short-term, a break should produce a test of resistance at $46.00, while in the longer-term a move to test the February 15th high of $57.94 would be a reasonable target. Presently, BEAS shares are in a basing pattern meaning they are trading within a tight range of $39.00 and $42.50. Although, the shares are currently testing the lower range of support, the declining volume suggests this support will hold. This means we are at a good entry point for investors wanting to play a break of the triangle, or shorter term traders looking to profit from a move to the top end of the basing pattern with a bonus possibility of a more profitable break of the triangle.
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