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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED

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To: stockman_scott who wrote (37341)	5/30/2001 9:47:23 AM
From: Jim Willie CB	Read Replies (3) of 65232

wealth effect has been working slowly but surely it will undermine this summer's spending hasnt anyone noticed 10yr TNote yield up 40 bpts since Feb? talked to buddy last night in major national commercial real estate firm he works in Boston and had some things to share commercial corporate office market is at absolute standstill "never seen it like this in 20 yrs" higher rent area has gone from $60/sqft to $38 since Nov2k unprecedented swift collapse but manufacturing market is hanging on due to biotechs, medical devices Genzyme, Genetechs Inst, etc located around Boston Boston Scientific, Johnson&Johnson located around Boston residential real estate holding up well many towns imposing restrictions on new building Cisco canceled plans to locate 2000 people in west suburbs actually a mile from where I once lived in NEC office complex I expect Dow, SPX, NazComp to give back half what it took since April 1st 2ndHalf Recovery? sure how about 2ndHalf Accelerated Decline? / jim

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