Booms, Busts, and Recoveries Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: TobagoJack who wrote (4000)	5/31/2001 1:10:56 AM
From: pezz	Read Replies (1) of 74559

<What does Pezz see? <<my "gut" feeling is usually wrong! … Soooo I have taken the contrary theory to it's most sophisticated level ... I'm contrary to myself ... Of course I must be careful here. I must be sure that I'm not being contrary to being contrary.... When I start to get a headache I know that I've gone to far> The above is in reference to the technical aspect of stock prices . As to the fundies of the economy I see no reason to believe that this recession is any different than any other post war recession. Not any reason for an economic collapse. <<Bond yield curve seem to say “expect inflation”, >> I beg to differ. Bond yield curve say "expect recovery" Strong dollar , productivity and slow economy say "expect no inflation"...The dollars demise has been predicted on this thread often but... << We do not understand why such an outrage needs to be further helped by lowering FED rate, and why the lowering of FED will help, at all>> It has helped in the past has it not? <....OIL does scare me though> <<This we do not understand, as the gasoline prices in the US is the lowest in the world, and lower than in Hong Kong, even after a doubling.>> Inflation is measured as domestic price increases relative to past domestic prices.Energy is a cost component in everything. If it gets outa hand it could do more to increase inflation than anything AG will do....It is the wild card that scares me. BTW I continue to refuse to repent.

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