Formerly About Applied Materials Message Board

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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials

AMAT 223.95

+1.7%

Nov 21 9:30 AM EST

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To: Gottfried who wrote (47620)	6/6/2001 3:02:09 PM
From: Donald B. Fuller	Read Replies (1) of 70976

Hi Gottfried "Over the same period (through last week), the S&P 500 gained about 75%. The best of the Wall Street firms — Credit Suisse First Boston — managed a return of just 7.63%, a breathtaking level of underperformance that should have every client who follows such research flocking to an index fund.< [snip]" Also confirming my own impression...again leading to my search for an analyst contrary indicator measure. We need to identify and exclude the top two, then we've got ourselves a perfect contrary indicator, IMHO... These two are gone - They're the top two overachievers... 1. Credit Suisse First Boston 6.86% 2. A.G. Edwards 4.33% Here then, is our contrary indicator list... 3. Salomon Smith Barney 0.88% 4. Merrill Lynch -1.57% 5. Morgan Stanley -2.76% 6. UBS PaineWebber -4.87% 7. Prudential -5.47% 8. Goldman Sachs -6.03% 9. Bear Stearns -6.21% 10. Lehman Brothers -7.03% Gottfried, can you chart these firms' up vs downgrades relative to AMAT and follow that along for awhile? I still think there is contrary predictive power here if we properly harness it.. Don

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