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Technology Stocks : Intel Corporation (INTC)
INTC 36.15-0.6%9:30 AM EST

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To: willcousa who wrote (137023)6/8/2001 12:34:46 PM
From: ColtonGang   of 186894
 
Daniel Niles
PC & Semiconductor Analyst
Lehman Brothers

IN FOCUS - INTC

Mid Quarter Update

Signs of stability in microprocessor Business
2001 Q2 sales estimate 6.5B
$6.29B versus $8.3B last year
Gross margin is 49%
INTC Analysis

INTC mid-quarter report was pretty much as expected
INTC lowered guidance to lower end of range
Margins were lowered and that was a bit of a surprise
Did not find out much about the second half except that it would be better
That is nothing new as things always improve in the back half of the year
Big question left unanswered is what impact will weakness in Europe have
Can they make 13c in the Sep Q and have operating profits go up 20% sequentially during the summer?
Dan does not think so
Geographic problems are getting more intense
Consumer demand is a bigger issue than people are anticipating
HWP weakness will take time to reach INTC
Last downgraded INTC from buy to MARKET PERFORM
Sticking with that rating
His feeling is that people are desperately trying to believe things are getting better
JNPR warned today TXCC says down 75% sequentially
HAND came out and cut their revenue forecast in half
Everyone pretty much saying Europe is getting weaker
Summer is difficult even in an upcycle
Great opportunity to get out because fundamentally things are still getting worse
INTC is above board
Thinks inventories will be higher in March which were unusually low
They are about 3-4 weeks removed from what their customers are doing
Big issue is they are 3-4 week removed from customer weakness
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