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Technology Stocks : Semi-Equips - Buy when BLOOD is running in the streets!
LRCX 155.15+2.1%3:59 PM EST

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To: Cary Salsberg who started this subject6/13/2001 7:17:44 PM
From: James Calladine   of 10921
 
AMAT REPORT:

Full PDF report linked at:

witcapital.com

Applied Materials Update

<<<Summary:

Applied Materials held a tour for the sell-side
yesterday at its Austin, Texas manufacturing facilities.

We continue to be impressed by the company's
lean manufacturing set-up. It continues to allow quick ramp-up and
slowdown for the manufacturing site.

While the bottom for the company may have been
reached, given the rapid decline we have seen over the last two
quarters, we continue to believe the return to growth will be slow.

Our view is that the rapid snapback for Applied
is optimistic and $2 billion in orders for the October quarter is
wishful thinking.

The fundamentals continue to play out to our
thesis. The stocks have remained incredibly resilient, and it is
unlikely they will retrench to the October/November lows. Weakness could
provide opportunities to start to build positions. We believe a 20% to
30% downside risk is still a meaningful possibility in the nearer
term.>>>

Namaste!

Jim
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