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Strategies & Market Trends : The Thread II

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To: stan s. who started this subject6/15/2001 6:50:50 AM
From: SirRealist  Read Replies (1) of 9026
 
The next three days may be fun; I'd encourage folks to stick around for it. One chart scenario suggests we will bottom between 1995-2025, then rising to 2125/2160. Possibly, for the last time.

Unless you short successfully, it may be a long time to find sustainable upside.

Do not be eager for the day we revisit 1850, because it will not be many days or weeks after that we trade down to the next temporary bottom somewhere between 1250-1350. I'd say there's a 95% chance of that occurring within 5 months. Even worse, I'd say the odds are 50-50 of half that within 10 months. That's right, about 650. With the Dow at 6500.

It's not about a market crash; it's mostly a tech crash. Gold, energy, entertainment and old-fashioned value stocks are the safest sectors. The clearest speculation market ahead now requires us to look to the East.... China.

Half the traders and 40% of the money the market had a year ago, is gone already. The safest move any of us can make is to go 100% cash and stay away from the market for 5 to 10 months. Or short well.

But for 3 days, let's kick some short booty.
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