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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis

SPY 681.43

+0.2%

Dec 2 4:00 PM EST

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To: s berg who wrote (78768)	6/15/2001 7:31:51 PM
From: westpacific	Read Replies (1) of 99985

The bear is very well alive. Most folks forget that it takes years for a bear to fully work itself through the market. And even if we take out record highs on the DOW and go back to 2500 or even 4000 on the NAS - this does not mean the bear is dead. All this means is the FED has printed so much money - thus creating massive liquidity and floating markets higher - and prolonged the normal cycle of fiscal markets. What the FED is doing here is totaly new, and that is avoiding the normal course of recession and a bear market. The reason IMO - a NEW PRESIDENT!!! No doubt about it that this is playing in here. Just because the FED reinflates the bubble does not mean we have averted the bear. The markets can go to new highs and come crashing down so fast people will wonder what hit them. The problem is the bottoms could be so much lower than if the FED just let this cycle plays itself out in a slow and normal fashion. Ah the experiements with fiscal policy. Watch and learn. We are in a massive and dangerous economic history lesson right now. West

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