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Strategies & Market Trends : Gorilla and King Portfolio Candidates

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To: Stock Farmer who wrote (43586)6/18/2001 3:15:08 AM
From: EnricoPalazzo  Read Replies (1) of 54805
 
Ok, that's fair. I agree that haggling over the discount rate isn't a great use of time.

I am not, however, convinced that the discount rate is the proper way to account for risk. That implies several things, like the risk is a multiplicative function of time, no? That may be true of some sorts of risk, but by no means all.

Isn't it simpler to say, "If I don't feel that I understand the company's prospects, or I feel that the company's prospects are fundamentally uncertain, I shouldn't invest in that company?" I think that's what Buffett is getting at when he just uses T-bonds. I.e. he's thinking of the discount rate as a correction for the opportunity cost, not for risk (he uses careful selection criteria and margin of safety for that).
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