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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials

AMAT 327.01

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Jan 16 9:30 AM EST

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To: robert b furman who wrote (48136)	6/19/2001 11:35:56 AM
From: Kirk ©	Read Replies (1) of 70976

The main point is technology is just beginning in fiber optics much like transistors and IC back in the 60's. This is not true. Fiber optics may be 20 years behind transistors in the timeline, but it is hardly just starting. I have notes from a seminar I attended in 1979 where HWP (now Agilent people) were taking a 10 MB/s module out of the labs and making a multiplexer for ethernet with it. We had all our terminals running on it in the office by 1981 or so... factor of 1000 in 20 years is the growth rate in bandwidth, more or less. Not to quibble, but some of us have worked on fiber for a long, long time before it got popular and it has seen the same sort of growth in bandwidth as transistors. There is an additional variable besides speed and that is distance as the pulses of light spread and thus limit bandwidth. Anyway, not a complain other than I don't want people to think fiber is "just getting started"... as it isn't. One of the big reasons to make faster transistors is to switch the lasers off and on faster to drive the fibers. Of course, these are made with GaAs which is much faster than Silicon. Kirk out

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