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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials
AMAT 261.90+0.4%Dec 26 9:30 AM EST

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To: John Trader who wrote (48343)6/22/2001 1:33:54 AM
From: advocatedevil  Read Replies (1) of 70976
 
RE: "Please let me know if you see it more clearly than I do."

Geez, I'm still trying to figure out Stanley T. Myers' (president and CEO of SEMI) BTB comment: "It is likely that the prospects for sustained year-over-year improvements in monthly shipments are three to four quarters away."

If we were to assume that Stanley is referring to the 3-month B2B average shipments number, then...

3 quarters from now (Feb-02), shipments will surpass the previous year's (Feb-01) shipments of $2279.3

or...

4 quarters from now (May-02), shipments will surpass the previous year's (May-01) shipments of $1515.2

So, if I'm not missing something here, either shipments will be flat 1 year from today or they will grow 50% in 9 months.

Thanks for narrowing that down Stanley.

__________


RE: "That was a very negative article."

You really didn't expect AdvocateDevil to post a positive article did you! <g>

AdvocateDevil
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