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Strategies & Market Trends : Rande Is . . . HOME

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To: Rande Is who started this subject	6/22/2001 10:33:25 AM
From: J. C. Dithers	Read Replies (2) of 57584

Does the VIX any longer have meaning? Vix is low right now, a supposed indicator of investor complacency ... thereby a contrarian indicator of a likely impending fall in the market. What if the true state of investor psychology is not "complacency," but instead is boredom, apathy, and indifference? I say this because I think SI itself is a good mirror of what is going on in investors' minds. As I write, the market has been open an hour and there are no posts on this thread. There are few if any posts on the other prominent trader threads I follow. And this is not just today, it has been all week, and before that. I don't see "complacency," or "panic" or any other shared emotion. Just "blahhhhhh." Everything involved in on-line trading (which itself is only a few years old) has changed dramatically and suddenly in the grand scheme of things. It has gone from everyone we know trading furiously every day to no one trading or really caring what happens to the $%#@ing stock market. So, I'm just asking. Does a measure like the VIX (or probably a whole bunch of other technical indicators) mean diddly-squat in this new world (or era) we find ourselves in? JC, just thinking here.

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