MARKET TALK: Ariba Defense Deal Not Exactly Blockbuster Edited by Thomas Granahan Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES (Call Us: 201 938-5299; All Times Eastern) MARKET TALK can be found using code N/DJMT 4:49 (Dow Jones) The Defense Department acknowledged Friday that its deal with Ariba (ARBA), announced Wednesday, is a one-year agreement in which the government agency is paying Ariba about $125,000. Although the original announcement of the pact helped pull Ariba shares back from all-time lows hit Monday, analysts at CIBC World Markets say the size of the deal makes it "hard to justify" the bounce from the lows. Ariba finished Friday's session at $4.64, down 1.5%, but up from Monday's all-time low close of $3.85. (RS) 4:13 (Dow Jones) Deutsche Banc Alex.Brown is musing over the possible benefits of a strictly "hypothetical" merger of equals between Sprint PCS (PCS) and Nextel Communications (NXTL). With six major players, heated competition and limited spectrum, the wireless industry is ripe for some consolidation, analyst Jeff Hines writes. Combined, Sprint and Nextel would be the nation's second-largest wireless carrier, and would be required to divest very little spectrum. But he adds there are hurdles, among them that Sprint is a tracking stock. (CBN) 4:06 (Dow Jones) Tough way to end the week for stocks, which were soft most of the day and weakened further late on fears of terror threat in Middle East. Merck set the tone with profit warning, but there were plenty of other candidates, though none as well known. Next week will be fun, as results from the FOMC gathering aren't a sure thing - it's either a quarter or half a point. Again, the language that comes with this cut will be huge. The end of easier money may be near, though. DJIA drops 110 to 10605, Nasdaq eases 23 to 2035, and S&P 500 falls 11 to 1226 (preliminary). (TG) 3:54 (Dow Jones) Heartened by comments from Corning (GLW) Chief Executive John Loose Thursday at its annual shareholders' meeting, Davenport & Co. telecommunications analyst Drake Johnstone maintained his buy rating and $30 price target on the optical fiber maker's stock. "Loose indicated that Corning's fiber optic business (58% of revenue and earnings) would be up this year due to continued demand from local phone and cable companies and from international carriers, especially China's top carriers," he said. While Johnstone recently lowered his growth estimates for the company's fiber business, he said Corning is attractively valued. (JDB) 3:40 (Dow Jones) HUD calls its first Internet loan sale "a huge success." It auctioned $109 million of loans online - the largest such transaction yet conducted by Uncle Sam on the Internet. (JCC) 3:32 (Dow Jones) After much speculation about a restatement, Computer Sciences (CSC) filed a 10-K late Thursday that held few surprises. "The filing should at least stop the market's feeding frenzy about accounting irregularities/potential financial restatements," says SG Cowen's Moshe Katri. Of course, now the market is free to worry about whether CSC will issue another quarterly earnings warning. (MLP) 3:23 (Dow Jones) The camp remains "fairly split between 25 BP and 50 BP" rate cut at next week's FOMC, economist notes. July Fed funds up 1 BP at 96.37, just 1/2 BP shy of mid-point, where odds for a 50 BP rate ease at 50%. (SPC) 3:17 (Dow Jones) Threat of terrorist instability in Middle East sending flight to quality bid to Tsys, getting major bounce in late afternoon trade, notes fund manager in NY. 10-year up 15/32, yield at 5.12%, 30-year up 25/32, yield at 5.57%. Stocks going in opposite direction - DJIA off 117 at 10597, Nasdaq down 25 at 2034, and S&P 500 falls 12 to 1224. (JNP) 3:12 (Dow Jones) Manugistics (MANU) CEO Greg Owens didn't get a raise last year (just $750K in salary and bonus) or additional stock options. But that doesn't mean he went without perks. The company gave Owens $35K for golf club dues, $49K for personal jet travel and $30K to pay his taxes. Not that Owens needs much charity. He realized $10.9M from exercising options and still held options worth $96.5M at the end of February. He's taking a bit of a hit Friday, though, with the shares off 30% at $25.54 on soft 1Q. (MLP) 2:59 (Dow Jones) It ain't over 'til the capital markets sing. George Bicher, analyst at Deutsche Banc Alex. Brown, lowered his 2001 and 2002 estimates on several of the commercial banks, given prolonged weakness in their capital markets businesses, as well as rising credit costs. "We continue to like the competitive position and growth potential of many companies, but we find little to get enthused about in the short run," Bicher noted. He did say Citigroup (C) stands apart from the rest as having "more durability in our 2002 estimates." (TAS) 2:50 (Dow Jones) Retail investors may be heading to the beach a little early this year and online brokers are taking the heat. "June is shaping up to be one of the worst months on record," said Richard Repetto, an analyst with Putnam Lovell Securities Inc., in a report Friday. "The early indications from the online brokers is that June trading volume was running down 17% to 20%, he said. (CWM) 2:44 (Dow Jones) Fed funds futures are "extremely good predictors" of Fed monetary policy on day before FOMC meetings, according to Merrill Lynch. Firm's research shows Fed funds contract is mispriced by just 6 BP 81% of the time, and by more than 12 BP only 5% of the time. (SPC) (END) DOW JONES NEWS 06-22-01 04:49 PM *** end of story *** |