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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 665.67-0.9%Nov 17 4:00 PM EST

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To: t2 who wrote (79216)6/25/2001 10:19:19 PM
From: bobby beara  Read Replies (2) of 99985
 
Newvision, no slam on you but you have been unrelentingly bullish (yu were correctly so off the april bottom) for several months now while tech has gone sideways to down.

Techs are in a bear market, as indicated by the the nasdaq being below it's 200 dma and the increasing # of tech companies gapping down on downward earnings revisions.

This is the reverse of the bull market, where all the bears came out at reaction to the trend and got vocal, now at reactions to the bearish trend the bulls come out a get vocal, you had ibexx calling people with cautious attitudes jeering pessimists and doplicity insulting me telling me i was gonna go broke and i was a punk.

The nasdaq got very oversold internally several sessions ago with the mcoscillator hitting -200
stockcharts.com

since then we have had several days of anemic rallies with no great plurality of bullish buying sentiment in a/d or advancing/declining volume, nor have we seen any sentiment washout, one of the indicators i used for the reversal on april 5th was the 95% upside volume on nasdaq.

i think the rally from the bottom a few days ago is a technical rebound of an oversold condition and we will get a sell the news on the fed rate drop.

no doubt there are some great opportunities developing in these oversold sectors, but i'm not sure the time is ripe, yet.

i will be back off vacation next weekend and posting more regularly, with a twist, twisted person that i'yam -g-

b
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