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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis

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To: Jerry Olson who wrote (10600)	6/29/2001 8:15:16 AM
From: Kip518	Read Replies (1) of 52237

From: "Let's Play the Bear Market Recovery" grantsinvestor.com Looking at the 20 stock market peaks of the past century, Leuthold and his team drew up the accompanying table showing the number of years it took for an investment to climb back to an 11% annual compound return following the market peak. "Assuming dividends are reinvested in the stock market," Leuthold says, "it has taken an average of 18 years and four months to reach an 11% annual compound return following a bull market peak. The median time is 14.8 years." But perhaps more relevant to the post-bubble 2000 era are Leuthold's startling findings concerning the buy-and-hold investor's recovery from the 1929 debacle: It's still in progress! "From the 1929 peak, it took an investor almost 69 years (1998) to reach a 10% return; 11% has not yet been achieved," he observes.

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