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Strategies & Market Trends : Steve's Channelling Thread

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To: Zeev Hed who wrote (19430)	6/29/2001 5:03:17 PM
From: John Pitera	Read Replies (2) of 30051

Zeev, right you are, the last 4 years has shown that if the VIX is at 21-22, it could very likely be on it's way to 17-18 and the market goes up until we see the lower readings. the VXN has only started being calculated and disseminated in real time this year, so it's unfortunate we don't have more data, other than the previous theoretical numbers. One would think coming out of a speculative bubble that we saw extraordinarily high Volatility in the VXN, and a VXN in the 30 - 40 area could be more the norm next year and in 2003. If tech stock get far enough out of favor we could possibly see a 20 handle on the VXN in the future. Just speculating. John

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