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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: Bob Rudd who wrote (12718)7/1/2001 1:58:29 AM
From: TimbaBear  Read Replies (2) of 78567
 
NITE....the bad news of lower trade volumes and slower overseas enthusiasm (i.e. EASDAQ) for trading have already been priced into the stock at these levels.

If one believes that we are heading into an upswing in the US economy, I believe that there is enough trading volume potential left for a hefty increase in revenues. Yes, many day-traders and high volume traders got wiped out over the last few years, but many just learned how to play the short side and are still trading.

I believe we'll see an increase in on-line trading (which NITE gets a decent share of) and an increase in the brokerage businesses. Maybe not anywhere near the old levels, but high enough for NITE to give a decent return. Addition source of revenue from heavy options playing as they have acquired that ability over the years as well.

JMO, I have traded in and out of NITE many times and am currently back in. I was a little early (about two weeks), I'm in at $12.30/share.

I view this as more of a trading stock (good for quick 30-40% pops) than a long term hold though. I think it has a Beta of about 4, so it is not for the faint of heart <ggg>

Timba
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