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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: Maurice Winn who wrote (5554)7/4/2001 8:54:24 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) of 74559
 
Hi Maurice, Malcolm has had some pretty unique experience in China many years ago, a strong belief in technology and the future of the 6 billion folks you often mentioned, and he is spot on ... the issue is one of "compelling value", not one of "compelling future". The valuation of many (again, I stay away specifically from QCOM) great companies can only be justified by twisting the intellect and apply low discount rate to their prospects, courtesy of Greenspan.

Money is continuing to be wasted on a grand scale globally, and count on the long term interest rate to hold steady, and then go up, as capital is being ill treated. This prediction is independent of the discussion of inflation/deflation.

The discount rate will be raised due to deteriorating credit quality and real profit (less inflation) growth projection.

I keep saying I have no view on QCOM. It is not that I am lazy and not bothering to check out any specific company. I am simply not interested in picking boats in the midst of a small storm, soon to be followed by a bigger one. I simply prefer to stay high atop a hill, for the moment, working on my own boat (business).

Chugs, Jay
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