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Gold/Mining/Energy : Gold Price Monitor

GDXJ 126.27

+3.5%

4:00 PM EST

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To: Square_Dealings who wrote (73023)	7/7/2001 2:26:45 PM
From: Ahda	Read Replies (1) of 116847

http://china.scmp.com/resources/chieconomics.html Comment: We believe there are clear signs that China's growth cycle has already peaked. Hence, we maintain our below consensus 7.5 per cent gross domestic product forecast for 2001. Our core argument remains that sharply slowing exports may not be fully offset by the steady expansion of domestic demand, which is unlikely to accelerate further. The growth momentum of exports has indeed been cooling as the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development leading indicator continues to head south. We expect export growth to drop to 6 per cent this year, versus 27.8 per cent last year. Ma Guonan, head of North Asia economic research Source and comment: Merrill Lynch I believe he is right.

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