MDA - Market Direction Analysis Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis

SPY 694.04

+0.7%

Jan 9 4:00 PM EST

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To: HairBall who wrote (79652)	7/7/2001 6:42:12 PM
From: eichler	Read Replies (1) of 99985

LOL I think you overestimate the probability of flat... all thing equal...flat, up, down should have 33.3333333% chance....but since there are so many more ways to be up or down than flat (only ways to be flat; don't move at all - or end up where you start) I would say the flat possibility has less probability....LOL Since you bravely laid it all out on the line with 100% reliability on down, up, flat...and you can't possibly be wrong..... I will say... DOWN 70% UP 25% FLAT 5% I figure I have at least a 30% chance of being wrong! Hmmmm....OFF TOPIC DISCUSSIONS.... uh.....well..... no. Just doesn't have that nice ring to it......ggg Best regards, Eichler

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