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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials

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To: Proud_Infidel who wrote (48849)	7/8/2001 3:01:51 PM
From: Katherine Derbyshire	Read Replies (1) of 70976

The SIA International Technology Roadmap for Semiconductors foresees the end of Moore's Law within its horizon. (The full document is at public.itrs.net Reasonable people disagree about whether the Roadmap is as visionary as it might be, but it's hardly the work of crackpots. Regarding IBM's SiGe breakthrough, I don't believe Moore's Law says anything about transistor speed, just density. The density is what ultimately makes computers more powerful, and is also what gives the semiconductor industry its phenomenal economics of scale. Put another way, an 8086 running at 210 GHz wouldn't beat a 1.8GHz P4, because the P4 architecture can do so much more in each clock cycle. Katherine

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