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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis

SPY 671.91

0.0%

Nov 14 4:00 PM EST

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To: American Spirit who wrote (79738)	7/9/2001 1:08:07 AM
From: iod_sherwood	Read Replies (2) of 99985

EMC range 4-6 cents. give them 6 cents for the benefit of the doubt multiply by 4, assum they can maintain this..., 24c... give them more benefit of the doubt, give htem 33c 4 qtrs. trading at 20, do the math, forward PE of 60 assuming they make 33cents over the next 4 qtrs... 60 PE... that means it takes 60 years before EMC will make back the money u put in it... seems lame if u ask me.. 2.5 generations... use rule of 72... that's such a horrible return... yes, you're discounting a lot of future "growth"... but really.. t'is still a bubble... and since we're enroute to validating that theory... i say the downside will be far worse than we're willing to recognize... for a 20-25 PE to happen off those numbers... we may see EMC bottom around 8-12... nasty :) have fun!

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