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Technology Stocks : Nokia (NOK)
NOK 6.775-3.6%Nov 13 3:59 PM EST

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To: foundation who wrote (13561)7/11/2001 6:20:00 PM
From: A.L. Reagan  Read Replies (1) of 34857
 
Ben, your 3GSM/UMTS analysis is plausible from a h.s. vendor perspective, but ignores (a) pressure from operators to get some sort of return on the license investment, which on the right side of their balance sheets is a ticking debt bomb; and (b) billions of potential infra sales.

We may be disagreeing over the wagging of the dog or its tail. I see the push for GPRS extensions as a stop-gap defensive approach because of the failure of UMTS to materialize as first planned, not for the primary purpose of playing out a vast conspiracy to avoid paying QCOM royalties. If you disagree, I'd really like to understand better how an extended GPRS economic model works better long-term for GSM carriers and their vendors than earlier adoption of UMTS. I don't think the royalties equation is that material, especially given the balance sheet investments already made in UMTS.
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