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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 689.100.0%Jan 23 4:00 PM EST

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To: t2 who wrote (80108)7/12/2001 8:11:46 PM
From: Zeev Hed  Read Replies (2) of 99985
 
NV, I have looked at the numbers and at their "looking forward statement", it seems that for the next two quarters at least, the yearly earnings rate will be in the range of $.36 to $.40 per share (no counting "non recurring charges"), unless there is good reason to assume that growth rates in the 50% annually will resume shortly (and they say these will not), the current pricing of the stock is out of line with most rational valuation models. I still think that once this rally loses some wind, the major trend is down, and as I have suggested to you on June 9th (#reply-15920373) the stock was between $38 and $41 on the prior day), I expect it to through at least around $20.

That will still be a solid P/S of more than 7 and a PE of $53, very generous valuations for stunted growth. In the meanwhile, the major resistance is just under $32, and if it takes this ot by some magic, $37.75 should be the max on the next move, IMTO.

Zeev
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