Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis

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To: donald sew who wrote (11758)	7/16/2001 9:06:06 AM
From: James F. Hopkins	Read Replies (2) of 52237

Don; If I remember your past idea, it was that the semiconductors would most likely lead tech out of the slump; ( when ever that comes ). While I'm not sure they will lead (50/50) on that however I don't think any meaningful rally will go very far without them. All this to say keep an eye on Taiwan, as they are most dependent on wafers, and their market seems to move up or down as they see order flow. quote.yahoo.com^TWII&d=c&k=c1&c=^ixic&a=v&p=m50,m200,s&t=3m&l=on&z=m&q=c ---------------------- About the dollar , once before it got relatively high and stocks did too ( better than now ) and it was when Asia was having problems, in time though the shit hit the fan via the derivative market and we went down fast..I don't trust this market right now at all. If I pick between Bull, Bear or Bewilidered..I think I'm in the Bewildered class. With the dollar as high as it is it seems to me we should have already rallied a lot more than we have. In spite of the weak market they are still trying to bring some IPOs out, and there is a lot of convertibles being sold. If all the convertibles don't drain off to much liquid they will help put a limit on any rally going forward. The days of wine and roses are gone and will stay gone for a long time, we will be lucky if we can stop the bleeding and get the market to match interest rates, I think those hoping for some new rocket ship back to the moon are dreaming. Shorter term keeping one eye on Taiwan wouldn't hurt. Jim

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