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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: Ilaine who wrote (5912)7/17/2001 6:34:03 AM
From: Maurice Winn  Read Replies (1) of 74559
 
CB, I'm delighted that you see that war is only good if you are the winner. Yes, there used to be winners and losers, so for the winner, there was economic advantage and wars were definitely highly economic activities.

But in the past century, wars became universally destructive so the winners and losers both looked like losers. Note that I am NOT saying that pacifism is good. I'm all for taking on and defeating criminal thugs - there's no choice. I suppose in the sense that defeating the thugs is necessary and therefore economically useful, that kind of war is economically productive, in a perverted sense.

My objection was solely to the simplistic idea that wars are economically productive. That's a common canard which doesn't deserve the light of day. Anyway, I've made my point so I'll drop it. I'd like though to see you in a MAD war, leaping around excited at the prospect of a huge economic boost to the world! MAD = mutually assured destruction.

However, you mentioned the happy money-go-round multiplier effect and said '... so it goes'. No it doesn't go. You missed out the most important party to the money-go-round = the tax departments! Each time the money changes hands [and even if it doesn't] the government is nabbing a portion of it and pouring it down the drain by arranging for holes to be dug and filled in again [which is what governments usually do]. The dollar has fizzled to near zero before it has passed through half a dozen hands!

Even if the money doesn't change hands, the government gets some by way of diluting the existing money with issues of more to themselves - the good old money tree of never-ending moolah.

Mqurice
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