VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED

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To: stockman_scott who wrote (39103)	7/17/2001 10:55:05 AM
From: Jim Willie CB	Read Replies (2) of 65232

unfortunate lesson: fight inflation ghost..... and you get the opposite -- deflation and strong risk of recession fight a recession risk with inflation policy..... and you get strong recession and risk of depression in pockets of the world economy watch in horror this summer and autumn as numerous small and medium economies in Asia and South America fall and melt down like chocolate bars on asphalt pavement !!! in 1997 and 1998 we saw a full one year for the Asian Meltdown to reverberate around the entire globe this time from spring/summer/autumn 2000, it will take at least a full year for the inner tremors to work out in the form of a series of shockwaves Argentina just took on a shockwave, one not finished yet the rest of the world is undergoing huge stress now the next shock will come where currency pressures are greatest and that means wherever local currency is tied to the USdollar horribly destructive, inept, and failed Federal Reserve policy in 1999 and 2000 has resulted in a stalled if not depressed US economy, and a worldwide economic recession that will be EXTREMELY difficult to emerge from lots of comments from (to date incorrect and inept) brokerage strategic analysts about how the bottom has been seen IT HAS NOT BEEN SEEN, NOT YET bad earnings news is not an accurate foundation for building a premise of "worst news is seen" nor is adding 6-8 months to the start of a Fed easing cycle a foolproof device of forecasting economic turnaround listen to CEO's, not brokerage analysts listen to pink slip layoff notices, not CNBC cheerleader morons wearing makeup we are gonna see negative GDP in Q3, MARK MY WORDS IT WILL SPOOK THE MARKETS, AND LEAD MANY TO THE SIDELINES so many investors might soon move into cash... and wait AS WELL AS BRING QUESTION TO THE FED'S LEADERSHIP IMPEACH GREENSPAN / jim

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