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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: Maurice Winn who wrote (6055)7/19/2001 8:57:51 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) of 74559
 
Hi Maurice, some observations …

<<USA savings rate isn't that great … means they will work until they drop … can work … until they are 95>>

… Maybe. More likely they will vote in politicians who will redistribute wealth via inflation and taxation. Majority rule is rarely benevolent.

<<Retirement is a modern concept ... Many … don't really retire anyway … they'll stay there until they drop>>

… Working by choice is freedom. Working by necessity is recipe for revolt.

<<Margin debts are way down>>

… Some of it, no doubt, now consolidated into home equity loans, like those trans-generation Japanese home mortgages that once supported their equity valuation.

Relative personal savings/equity capital value between the US and Japan balance sheet and residential density may put US and Japanese real estate valuation on par footing. Balance sheet analysis in the context of future expected income statement may also put the US and Japan on par footing. I do not believe the average Japanese' personal balance sheet and ratios are weaker than the average J6P. We will have to wait and see.

Chugs, Jay
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