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Strategies & Market Trends : Gorilla and King Portfolio Candidates

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To: Thomas Mercer-Hursh who wrote (44712)7/19/2001 11:37:00 PM
From: Mike Buckley  Read Replies (3) of 54805
 
Thomas,

isn't the fact that the stock is probably near a low more important in this context than what its current ratios are?

For me, the inadequacy of that question is in the presumption that it's a FACT that the stock is probably near a low. If that's your opinion, you're right that it doesn't matter what the current ratios are given your other assumptions. However, if an investor believes that the stock could achieve the same Fool ratio of 1.0 again as it very recently did, the stock will fall to below $8.00.

I don't have the slightest idea if it will achieve that ratio again. But if it does and if analysts don't raise estimates, people following this thread won't have any reason to repeat the criticism that we haven't discussed valuation enough.

Frankly, I'm looking for strong support from the people who expressed concern about not having discussed valuation enough. I hope they will pipe in about the comment I'm making about Siebel. (They might have already done that. I haven't read most of the recent posts.)

--Mike Buckley
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