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Technology Stocks : Advanced Micro Devices - Moderated (AMD)
AMD 203.14-0.8%Jan 9 9:30 AM EST

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To: kash johal who wrote (48599)7/22/2001 12:14:55 AM
From: Dan3Read Replies (3) of 275872
 
Re: if things dont turn around they could start losing $200-300M/qtr (imagine 15M units/qtr at ASP of $50 average).

But not for too long. Because in that scenario Intel is selling 25M units/qtr at an ASP of $100.

AMD would be losing $200M/qtr while Intel loses $1.5Billion/qtr.

They'll work out some kind of wink-wink, nudge-nudge, market sharing agreement.

But I think we may see a quarter or two like that first.

Longer term, I continue to believe that a company organized around the notion that its business plan has to support operations that are very profitable if ASPs for CPUs are $100 is going to do better than a company that starts losing money when ASPs drop below $150.
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