Waiting for the big Kahuna Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna

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To: William H Huebl who wrote (53312)	7/22/2001 11:41:53 AM
From: robert b furman	Read Replies (1) of 94695

Hi Bill, In Mondays Investors Business Daily (which they deliver on Saturday) they made a comment in the bond section that really caught my attention. The 2 year treasury note have dropped to a low not seen going all the way back to October 1998.Well I happen to have October 1998 permanently scarred in my brain.gggg This was the heighth of fear as the Asian Contagion was rolling thru all third world economies.In an effort to diffuse it rates were cut globally.I suspect this is a corollary of your SCYR work. Perhaps now what we need to see is a vix spike resulting from an swoop down to 1400(must break 1600 at least) and the european's get on the rate cutting band wagon as Uncle Al announces an intermeeting rate cut as well. Then a reversal of historical proportions will occur just in time for the lags of monetary expansion to kick in. A very doable scenario - 95 % of which is already in place. Bob

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