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Strategies & Market Trends : MP - Market Pulse

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To: Les H who wrote (865)7/24/2001 11:39:31 AM
From: Louis V. Lambrecht  Read Replies (1) of 1328
 
Les - re:cycles
Seen your reply to ajtj99 and trying to align those cycles maths together.

You said: from anchor "July 30 is a phase change date for the 10-week cycle per the April 4 base low. "
I count 17 weeks ?!?

The count of the thirds of the 9 month cycle (39 weeks) in B Y R (bull-neutral-bearish phases) starts with 3+ weeks market "start" and F@#%& all my counts <ng>.

When you refer to the 10 weeks cycle, are we speaking of the 70 days/55sessions cycles that was discussed for the Nasdaq on John Pitera's market lab back in December? Subject 32953
If I remember well, the discussion was for those 70 days on the Nasdaq, but somewhat shorter for the SPX.
(plotted a chart as John's site is not active anymore: lvlamb.itgo.com )

Are you familiar with the 9 months cycles as followed by HighReturn?
communities.msn.com
(9 month cycles which can last from 6 to 12 onths)his data at communities.msn.com
Plotted his data also on a chart (as he didn't do it himself <ng>) lvlamb.itgo.com

The table you provide is a calendar table with equal thirds of thirds... of the 9 months cycle.

It is my understanding that in a bull market, the trend is bullish longer (bull + neutral with a bullish bias) to go from bottom to top (what you already replied).
In a bear market, it is my understanding that we would have a longer period from top to bottom (bear + neutral with a bear bias).

Actually, I can't even plot the top and botoms of the market on my chart, as unless I should accept huge deviations to the rule, or reset the count at specific anchors.
For example, cycle anchored on the low of Apr 04, and the top 5 weeks later in early May.

70days cycle isn't fitting well either lately.

Any suggestion more than welcome.
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