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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials
AMAT 242.41+5.0%Nov 25 3:59 PM EST

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To: Pink Minion who wrote (50194)8/5/2001 3:56:04 AM
From: Jacob Snyder  Read Replies (2) of 70976
 
I read that article, it's been reposted in about 97 places on SI in the last few days, and he makes some good points.......but I'm sceptical of someone who says they are buying Compaq.....and Xerox.......and lumber......lumber?

And he likes emerging-market stocks and bonds, which is odd, given he thinks (as I do) that consumption in the U.S. has to come down a lot, and stay down, maintaining a positive savings rate long enough to get consumers deleveraged. If that happens, who are all those export-dependant emerging markets going to sell to? Japan? The U.S. (and Japan and Europe) will have a recession, and the emerging markets will have depressions and social/ethnic/military chaos, 100 potential Indonesias and Congos.
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