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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED

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To: BirdDog who wrote (39793)8/5/2001 3:41:35 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (2) of 65232
 
nothing, name a few (GX is one)
almost everything I track and observe is higher than April4th
he doesnt exclude the possibility of a retest in August
just says "probably seen the lows"
Louie likes midcaps now
he still thinks acting defensively using energy stocks is wise

all these massive writeoffs and layoffs will be good for stocks
but you gotta pick the survivors in each sector
the big writeoffs are like passing huge balance sheet hairballs

I think people will be fooled how very few bigname techs will see their fundamentals materially recover in the next 9-12 months
as strong as Y2K was, we will see weak Post-Y2K

my buddy in technology forecasting firm still says all their clients are planning for low 2002 capital budgets

I dont believe the recovery (whenever it comes) will mark the onset of a new business expansion cycle
by 2003 we will be facing much the same problems as now
only with even larger household debt
and wireless will be the onliest healthy wing within telecom
voice prices are still falling
broadband will ensure that trend will be in place

/ Jim
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