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Politics : High Tolerance Plasticity

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To: Sharp_End_Of_Drill who wrote (6577)8/8/2001 6:02:49 PM
From: Warpfactor  Read Replies (3) of 23153
 
Sharp,

Evidently several people here use the VIX to gauge the state of the general market. I personally have never been entirely comfortable with VIX as a predictive tool.

My impression of VIX is that it provides a great sell signal when volatility is high after a major bull run, or it can provide a solid buy signal following a significant bear stretch, signaling a period of panic and great indecisiveness among market participants.

However, to say that the VIX is currently giving a bearish signal doesn't quite wash with me. I don't equate how the lack of volatility can be interpreted as bearish (in a bear market), or bullish (in a bull market). I perceive lack of volatility as a neutral non-factor

Thats the way I see it. Possibly someone can direct me to a primer on the VIX? I could stand for a little more education on it.

Warp
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