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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials
AMAT 220.28-6.4%Nov 20 3:59 PM EST

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To: Cary Salsberg who wrote (50321)8/9/2001 3:10:59 PM
From: Jacob Snyder  Read Replies (1) of 70976
 
from CSFB 8/7/01:

You can pay too much for good companies.

We have been struggling with valuations all year. Stocks look expensive on just
about every metric: As part of our downgrade of the sector(See our note dated
08/07/01), we are downgrading AMAT to Hold from Buy. We would become more
aggressive in the AMAT at $30 or 10X estimated peak EPS potential next cycle of
$3.05. At current valuation, SCE stocks will not provide much upside even if we
are wrong on our fundamental analysis. Bottom-line: we believe that going
forward, stocks in our universe will "BEST CASE" market/underperform and more
likely continue to have significant downside risk of greater than 30% from
current levels as investors confront the depth and duration of the current
downturn.
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