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Strategies & Market Trends : gem-x's incredibly accurate Elliott Wave forecasts.

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To: eichler who wrote (365)8/12/2001 9:54:09 PM
From: pvz  Read Replies (3) of 2290
 
It’s so cozy and funny over here in your motley hideaway of renegades and misfits, I would like to join you if I may. Coming from an accounting background, I used to swear by FA but have been using a combination of both FA and TA in the past months. Most recently I have been successful with a strict regimen of extreme indicators – call it Extreme Investing (bungee style) if you will – starting with an extreme RSI reading. It works faster and more reliably with shorts than longs and I’m beginning to wonder whether it makes sense to go long at all in this market when there’s a very adequate return to be made on two or three day shorts and getting gravity to do the work for you. Like you Iowaman, I’m happy taking small profits and moving on.

There are always overbought sectors – last week auto parts and truckers broke down. Next week I’ll be looking at the grocers (eg abs, gap). Fundamentally, I’ll be looking for companies I wouldn’t want to buy – spotty trends, higher than average PE, non-recurring charges and PEGs above 1. Short interest shouldn’t be too high. Most important though is that the RSI reading is overbought at above 70 on both the daily and weekly charts, and either peaking or heading down already.

I’m afraid ebay is right in the middle of its RSI zone so it doesn’t fall into my scope yet, but I’m looking forward to sharing other ideas in the future.
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